“They’re closing down the textile mill across the railroad tracks
“The foreman says these jobs are going, boys, and they ain’t coming back …”
— Bruce Springsteen in “My Hometown”
The bard of New Jersey is hardly a Donald Trump supporter. A longtime progressive who supports the Democratic Party nominee every four years, Springsteen was tapped by Hillary Clinton in the waning days of the 2016 campaign to galvanize the faithful at a Philadelphia rally and pump up the vote in the city and its suburbs.
The Boss did his part, extolling Hillary for her “intelligence,” castigating The Donald as a man with “a profound lack of decency,” and then playing a nice set. Tellingly, the playlist did not include “My Hometown.” In the rest of Pennsylvania, and across the Rust Belt, voters ultimately put more stock in the words of Springsteen’s 1983 ballad than in his 21st century liberal self.
More precisely, they listened to Donald Trump’s interpretation of how America’s economy has been handled in the last 3½ decades. Those jobs didn’t leave of their own accord, Trump maintained. They left because duplicitous politicians and craven corporations rigged the system for their own benefit.
NAFTA was one particularly invidious instrument, in Trump’s telling, but his narrative was broader than that. Politicians of both parties mismanaged globalization, he asserted, in ways that benefited West Coast elites and rich swells in the Acela corridor while leaving middle America in the lurch. The establishment encouraged massive immigration — legal and illegal — to ensure cheap labor, while fashioning trade deals that helped crony capitalists in Mexico and China and hollowed out the American working class. I will change all that, Donald Trump promised. Those jobs? They are coming back.
This is a one-dimensional view of global economics, as the international tycoon who was spinning it knows. But just enough of it was true that Trump’s pitch resonated in the heartland. And the arrogance exhibited by those opposed to Trump tended to bolster his argument and inspire working people to tell the establishment to shove it.
In February 2016, the Carrier division of United Technologies said it was moving two perfectly profitable Indiana manufacturing operations, along with some 2,000 jobs, to Mexico. Carrier’s announcement came two months ahead of the Indiana primary, and helped swing it to Trump and Bernie Sanders — a harbinger of what awaited Hillary Clinton in November.
Meanwhile, the media dutifully reported on studies showing that working-class Americans’ income hadn’t risen in two decades. Yet, in a stark example of cognitive dissonance, these same news outlets carried a drumbeat of commentary telling their audiences that even considering a vote for the candidate who promised to get them a pay raise meant they were racists. It wasn’t an argument that figured to resonate with workers who hadn’t had a raise since Hillary Clinton was first lady — and it didn’t. For her part, Clinton amplified on the media’s dubious strategy, memorably placing half of Trump’s supporters into her “basket of deplorables,” which she described as “racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, Islamophobic — you name it.”
By that time, Trump was calling Clinton “Crooked Hillary,” but “Clueless Hillary” would have been more apt. Which brings us to the Paris accord on climate change.
Liberals in the United States and elites all over the world flipped out when Trump announced that he was abrogating the agreement. If hot air were CO2, Democrats in this country might have ticked the world temperature up a couple of degrees in a single day.
“A willful crime,” cried Democratic Party mega-donor Tom Steyer. Democratic Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse nailed four liberal bogeymen in a single sentence. “Trump is betraying the country in the service of Breitbart fake news, the shameless fossil fuel industry, and the Koch brothers’ climate denial operation,” he said.
California Gov. Jerry Brown termed the president’s decision “insane” and “tragic” and vowed that “California will resist” — before jumping on a plane to China where he planned to discuss this issue with the global leader in greenhouses gas emissions.
As even Brown acknowledged, Trump’s action surprised no one. Like the Iran nuclear deal, this was, in effect, a treaty. But because President Obama never brought it to the Senate for ratification (it wouldn’t have passed in its current form) it amounts to an executive order that Trump felt free to undo. Why wouldn’t he? He campaigned against it, and nearly the entire Republican Party considers it a lousy deal for American taxpayers, bad for the U.S. economy and of infinitesimal benefit to the environment.
For starters, the accord is non-binding and countries are free to set their own goals. Putting his money where his mouth was, Obama committed the U.S. to achieving a 26 percent to 28 percent reduction in carbon emissions by 2025. The other big polluters didn’t match Obama’s bravado. China, the only nation to emit more carbon dioxide than the United States, merely offered that its carbon emissions would cap in 2030. India announced goals that represented an increase in what it had already predicted. Pakistan promised to try to reduce its output after reaching “peak” emissions “to the extent possible.”
To facilitate these nebulous and unenforceable goals, the Obama administration agreed to spearhead a transfer of wealth from prosperous nations to developing economies: These payments were to total $10 billion, $3 billion of it from the U.S., of which $1 billion has already been paid. So Trump saved American taxpayers $2 billion on Thursday, which is a nice day’s work for a guy who’s not even taking a salary.
The real savings to Americans, he said, will be in preventing consumers’ energy costs from rising and in avoiding the impacts of the deal on the manufacturing, heavy industry and energy sectors of the economy that would be required to meet Obama’s goals. This is not to say that there aren’t arguments for keeping the Paris accord. It was a good start on addressing an issue that has alarmed the world scientific community. It’s also the rallying point for a global conversation, which never hurts. Obama staked out the moral high ground and a position of leadership.
“Today the American people can be proud,” he said at the time, “because this historic agreement is a tribute to American leadership.”
True enough, but Donald Trump doesn’t come from this tradition. He cares less about something as nebulous as leadership than about the actual terms of the deal. He looked at the Paris accord with the mentality of a real estate magnate who came into possession of an expensive New York skyscraper — only to conclude that everything about the terms of the deal were disadvantageous. The leases are too low, the interest rates on financing too high, the maintenance contracts, finders’ fees, taxes — everything must be relitigated.
Will Europeans fall for this gambit? They were quick to say they wouldn’t. “I tell you firmly tonight: We will not renegotiate a less ambitious accord. There is no way,” said new French President Emmanuel Macron. “Don’t be mistaken on climate: There is no Plan B because there is no Planet B.”
It’s a clever line, but in Donald Trump’s mind there’s always a Plan B, not to mention Plans C, D, E and F. If global warming is truly the existential threat to mother Earth that climate change activists say it is, they’ll renegotiate with Trump. Failing to do so would call into question every single claim they’ve made about the issue’s importance.
Carl M. Cannon is executive editor and Washington Bureau chief of RealClearPolitics.